After a fifth Presidential Debate where the instapolls – or, at least, the scientific ones – have said Donald Trump has lost (after going 0/3 against Hillary Clinton), the Betting markets have… improved for the President. There’s so much money to make right now. Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats To WinPrice: $0.64Site: PredictIt Just bet Joe […]

Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats To WinPrice: $0.64Site: PredictIt We considered just running our analysis from last Thursday, or last Monday, or the week before that, or before that, or, hell, from the first ever edition of this newsletter. Nothing has changed. In a very sleepy weekend of polling, the data we did get wasn’t world […]

After a few days of a lot of noise, and even more polls, we’re still in the same place we’ve been for a little while now – and that is with Betting markets that do not reflect current polling and modelling reality. In other words, a market primed to make money. Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats […]