After a fifth Presidential Debate where the instapolls – or, at least, the scientific ones – have said Donald Trump has lost (after going 0/3 against Hillary Clinton), the Betting markets have… improved for the President. There’s so much money to make right now. Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats To WinPrice: $0.64Site: PredictIt Just bet Joe […]

Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats To WinPrice: $0.64Site: PredictIt We considered just running our analysis from last Thursday, or last Monday, or the week before that, or before that, or, hell, from the first ever edition of this newsletter. Nothing has changed. In a very sleepy weekend of polling, the data we did get wasn’t world […]

After a few days of a lot of noise, and even more polls, we’re still in the same place we’ve been for a little while now – and that is with Betting markets that do not reflect current polling and modelling reality. In other words, a market primed to make money. Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats […]

With a weekend of polls now released, we finally have a clear picture of where the country sits after the VP Debate (yes, it actually happened) and news of the President’s return to the White House and attempts to return to a new normal. With that state of play, there is money to be made, […]

After a VP debate where so little happened of note that we at Voting Odds HQ are literally unable to think of any moments from it, mere hours afterwards, we have to survey the fallout from the President’s tumultuous week. Unsurprisingly, there is a lot of money on the board, so let’s do this, and […]

After a New York Times bombshell on the President’s tax affairs and a day before the first Presidential Debate, this represents in some ways the end of the campaign’s Phony War – the weird limbo between the end of the Conventions and the beginning of the debates. Whether the debates move any voters will take […]

We’re fully in the swing of the election season now, and polls are coming in thick and fast. Discerning the signal from the noise is crucial, and knowing when to react to a poll – and when to buy other people’s overreactions – is key, and this week there’s money to be made by figuring […]

With the passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the race for the Senate has taken a front seat over the Presidency, but there is money to be made at both levels – plus, a clear value on the board for who will replace Ginsburg. Let’s make some money here. ___________________________ Race: Trump SCOTUS NomineePosition: Amy Coney […]

After a few days of really strong state polls for the former Vice President, and Biden leads of 5 or more in high quality, live caller polls which would add up to more than 270 electoral votes, we’re here, with the markets continuing to show us all the money. So let’s go make it. _____________________________ […]

After another weekend (plus Monday morning) of fairly bad polls for the President, the odds boards are very profitable right now, so let’s make some money. Race: US PresidencyPosition: Democrats To WinPrice: $0.59/-125Site: PredictIt/Bet365 The case that Donald Trump and the GOP should be nearly even money – and according to the sportsbooks, even less […]